Rosario Grain Exchange: Argentina's wheat production in 2024/25 is estimated to be 19.3 million tons, compared with the previous estimate of 18.8 million tons.Huatai Securities looks forward to the communication industry in 2025: embrace the trend of AI/ satellite industry and allocate core assets. When looking forward to the communication industry in 2025, Huatai Securities said that it is optimistic about three main investment lines: 1) Continue to embrace the industry trend, and with the progress of commercialization of AI computing chain and satellite Internet, we are optimistic about investment opportunities in related sub-sectors; 2) New quality productivity: low-altitude industries or the opening of provincial and municipal infrastructure construction, the domestic quantum communication industry is expected to go from 0 to 1, and the commercial aviation scene will be accelerated; 3) revaluation of core assets: with the improvement of market liquidity, leading enterprises with long-term competitiveness and performance toughness are expected to usher in opportunities for valuation improvement; In addition, the merger and reorganization of central state-owned enterprises is expected to promote more high-quality enterprises to complete the process of capitalization and play a positive role in the valuation of the sector.Under the interest rate cut cycle, the scale of domestic dollar wealth management doubled compared with the same period of last year. Although the Fed's expectation of continuing to cut interest rates is strong, the ability of domestic dollar wealth management products to "absorb gold" is still strong. Straight flush data shows that since January 2024, there are 756 newly established wealth management products with the word "USD". Among them, 30 new wealth management products with the word "USD" have been established since November, and most of them are fixed-income products. As of December 9, the scale of US dollar financial management reached 282 billion yuan, which has doubled compared with the scale of 140.4 billion yuan in December last year. Market analysts believe that although the Fed has entered the interest rate cut cycle, under the influence of many complicated factors, the US dollar still has support, and the attractiveness of US dollar wealth management products to investors is still there in the short term. However, investors also need to pay attention to market risk and exchange rate fluctuation risk, and rationally allocate related assets. (21st century business herald)
Australia's ASX 200 index narrowed to 0.1%, and the Australian dollar increased. The just released Australian employment data was better than expected.Nepal's Everest region will ban commercial helicopter flights to protect the local economy and wildlife. On December 11th, local officials in Nepal said that the local government and other stakeholders have decided to ban commercial helicopter flights in the Everest region from January 1st next year to protect the local economy and wildlife. Mingema Chiri Sherpa, mayor of Khumbasan Lamu, Mount Everest, Nepal, said on the same day that the decision was made because the increase in commercial helicopter flights in Mount Everest in recent years has shortened the stay time of tourists, and helicopter noise has also interfered with wildlife in nearby national parks. Relevant decisions are being sent to helicopter operators, travel agencies and tourism enterprises through letters.China Bank's RMB clearing volume in Australia exceeded 100 trillion yuan. According to Bank of China, recently, Bank of China Sydney Branch and Bank of China Hong Kong jointly held a RMB forum in Sydney to celebrate the 10th anniversary of being an Australian RMB clearing bank. As the only RMB clearing bank in the South Pacific at present, in the past ten years, China Bank has taken root in Australia and South Pacific, continuously expanded its clearing network, cooperated with four local banks and other financial institutions in Australia, and became the main channel for RMB clearing of local important banks, providing RMB clearing volume of more than 100 trillion yuan.
A special police camp in Grozny, the capital of the Chechen Republic of Russia, was attacked by drones. Russian military media said that a special police camp in Grozny, the capital of the Chechen Republic, was attacked by Ukrainian drones in the early hours of the 12 th. Up to now, the Ukrainian side has not responded.Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.High-word-of-mouth movies rush to the box office at the end of the year. The Spring Festival file in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. According to the data of Lighthouse Professional Edition, as of December 11 (17: 40), the cumulative box office of 20 movies in 2024 has reached 1.119 billion yuan. Among them, "Good Things" has a box office of 569 million yuan and a douban score of 9.1, which leads both word-of-mouth and box office. In addition, this week's three potential new films, Broken Hell, Misjudgment and Lion Boy 2, have been screened and entered the box office sprint at the end of the year. It is also known that four films, Nezha's Devil Children Roaring the Sea, The Legend of the Condor Heroes: The Great Man, The Fortunes of the Gods Part II: The War in the West, The Bear Appears and Restarts the Future, have been confirmed to be scheduled for the Spring Festival in 2025. The "National Film Consumption Season for the benefit of the people" launched by the State Film Bureau on December 9 will last from December 2024 to February 2025, and a total of not less than 600 million yuan will be invested in movie viewing subsidies, covering the Lunar New Year and Spring Festival files, which will help promote the market's enthusiasm for watching movies. Huatai Securities released a research report saying that the box office of the Spring Festival in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. In 2025, the supply and demand sides of the film market are expected to improve, or will push the fundamental inflection point of the cinema line plate upward. (Securities Daily)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14